MIT Professor Says FAA Estimate Of 15 Catastrophic Boeing MAX Crashes Is Way Too Low
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December 17, 2019 - by Peter Cohan for forbes.com
The world is a risky place....
Get in a car and you have a 1:103 chance of dying in an accident. Step into an airplane and the odds of dying are more like 1:5,000,000. If you had boarded a Boeing 737 MAX aircraft after the October 2018 crash of Lion Air 610, an FAA study conducted after that crash concluded that the odds of being in a catastrophic accident were far higher.
Yet the FAA decided not to ground the MAX but to let it keep flying — subject to reminding pilots of how to handle a misfiring flight control system. It was only three days after the March 2019 crash of the second 737 MAX — Ethiopian Air 302 — that the FAA finally grounded the fleet.
What's of even more concern is that an MIT Sloan School statistics professor told me that this alarming FAA accident forecast was vastly understating the MAX's risk...
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